Sorry, AI Just Can’t Predict a Market Crash
Wiki Article
Finance innovator Joseph Plazo just warned a room full of elite students something Wall Street won’t admit: AI may be efficient, but it can’t judge the unexpected.
MANILA — This wasn’t a pep talk—it was a strategic slap.
On a humid Thursday morning at the prestigious AIM campus in Manila, Plazo stood before a sea of students from top Asian universities—AIM—ready for a sermon on AI’s glory in finance.
What they got instead? A splash of cold market reality.
“AI is like your smartest intern,” Plazo noted, “But you still don’t give the intern the keys to your vault.”
The room laughed. Then they grew quiet. Because he wasn’t joking.
### AI’s Blind Spot? Human Nature
Let’s be clear—Plazo isn’t some Luddite clinging to the past. He architects trading AIs. His firm, Plazo Sullivan Roche Capital, powers some of the most accurate systems across global markets. He understands machine learning like few do.
But that’s exactly why his warning cut deep.
“The problem isn’t AI,” he told the room. “It’s what we expect from it. We keep hoping it’ll save us from making hard decisions. That’s not its job.”
Plazo unpacked real-world case studies—moments when AI signaled winning trades… right before a central bank pivot or an unexpected war. Noise that shattered the signal.
### Asia’s Best Challenged Him—and Learned Something
A student from Kyoto asked if LLMs might someday gauge global sentiment.
Plazo answered without blinking.
“AI can spot a tweetstorm. But it won’t sense dread in a press conference. It won’t catch regret in a central banker’s sigh.”
The room exhaled. Message received.
Another asked, “Can AI ever understand conviction?”
Plazo raised an eyebrow.
“Conviction isn’t math. It’s instinct. It’s shaped by failure and memory. You can’t download that.”
### A Wake-Up Call for Tomorrow’s Titans
This wasn’t about flash trading or chatbots. It was about responsibility.
Students admitted they saw AI as a cheat code—an escape hatch from risk, from thinking too hard. Plazo tore that idea down.
“You can automate your trades. You will never automate your integrity.”
That line echoed. Because everyone in that room—from the copyright cowboys to the quant whizzes—wanted alpha. But not at the cost of their sense.
### So What’s AI Good For?
Plazo didn’t trash AI. He credited its strengths:
- It filters noise.
- It backtests at scale.
- It spots technical setups better than any human.
But it can’t read sarcasm. It won’t grasp when a politician is bluffing. And it doesn’t know if your retirement burns.
“If your AI bot makes a bad call,” Plazo asked, “do you still own it? Or do you blame the code?”
That’s leadership talking.
### This Isn’t Just Markets—It’s Mindset
Plazo wasn’t preaching finance. He was preaching self-leadership. Use AI—but don’t worship it. Let it assist—not decide.
And yes—he still believes in the machines. He’s building tools that track geopolitics, misinformation, even psychological nuance.
But he left no doubt:
“No machine can tell you when *not* to act. That’s your job.”
### Don’t Let Your Bot Decide Who You Are
As the crowd filed out—buzzing, challenged, changed—one phrase echoed down the halls:
“AI doesn’t know your values. So don’t let it make your decisions.”
In a world chasing speed, Plazo offered something rarer:
A pause.
Because investing isn’t just about *winning*. It’s Joseph Plazo technopreneur about knowing **why** you played.